Scott Rasmussen's tracking poll was the best of the bunch in 2004. Given Rasmussen's credibility, I turn to his polls about general-election matchups for an accurate view of what the Rev. Wright hath wrought, with respect to Barack Obama's presidential prospects. Obama's chance of winning the Democrat nomination hasn't fallen much (which says a lot about Democrats), but he has fallen behind Hillary Clinton as a prospective opponent of John McCain.
- As recently as February 20-21, Obama led McCain by4 percentage points (46-42).
- At that time, McCain led Clinton by 4 percentage points (47-43).
- McCain now leads Obama by 10 percentage points (51-41), and Clinton by
710 percentage points (50-43)(51-41).