...here, "past performance is no indication of future returns," especially when it comes to this year's Yankees.
I have been all over the lot on the fate of the 2007 Yankees (here, here, here, and here). I should follow my own advice and quit trying to make predictions, even if they are informed ones and not mindless arithmetic games.
I had effectively written the Yankees off for failing to sweep their recent series with the Red Sox, which left the Yankees 4.5 games in arrears. But three days later, the Yankees are only 1.5 games behind the Red Sox.
What happens now? I dunno. I hereby swear that I will not make another prediction about baseball -- until I make another one.